Ungraded Price of the Bulbasaur on Collectr above $27.23 on
Above $27.23 is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
62¢ current
+60¢Contract brief
If the Ungraded Price of the Bulbasaur on Collectr is above $27.23 on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $27.23
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$164
Identifier
KXPOKEMON-26AUGBUL-27.23
Aug 6, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$164
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$164
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Ungraded Price of the Bulbasaur on Collectr is above $27.23 on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXPOKEMON-26AUGBUL-27.23
Event family
KXPOKEMON-26AUGBUL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$164
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Above $27.23 62¢
Current share
100%
Above $27.23
kalshi · KXPOKEMON-26AUGBUL-27.23
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 62% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.