SimpleFunctions

Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above 9000 Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026 tracking week

Above 9K is priced at 78¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above.

Price history

78¢ current

+76¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 9, 2026Aug 3, 2026

Contract brief

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 9K Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 9K

Rank

#3 of 10

Leader

Above 3K 89¢

Range

6¢-89¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-CHU26AUG13-9K

Aug 3, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

78¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Aug 3, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

73¢

Ask

83¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 10

10 outcomes · Will Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL have above

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

73 / 83¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
73¢200
8¢37
AskSize
83¢200
96¢70
97¢125
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chuck Timely & The Hourglass by ROLE MODEL has above 9K Pure Album Sales during the August 07, 2026 - August 13, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-CHU26AUG13-9K

SF Signal
SF Index
3884.63
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1062.8%

IY (No)

7769.3%

Adj IY

3885%

CRI

3

Overround

4.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1062.8%
7769.3%
Adj IY
3885%
3
Overround
4.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.