Trump post on Truth Social between 1:00 AM and 1:59 AM ET this week
1-2 AM is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will Trump post on Truth Social between.
Price history
33¢ current
−42¢Contract brief
If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 21, 2026 through Jun 27, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
1-2 AM
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
1-2 AM 33¢
Range
13¢-33¢
Family volume
$854
Identifier
KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN27-H1
Jun 25, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
33¢
Ask
35¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$371
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Trump post on Truth Social between
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Family volume
$854
Orderbook snapshot
33 / 35¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Trump Truth Social posts is above 0 during 1:00 AM to 1:59 AM ET on any day from Jun 21, 2026 through Jun 27, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 27, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPTIME-26JUN27-H1
Event family
Will Trump post on Truth Social between.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$854
Outcomes
3
Highest price
1-2 AM 33¢
Current share
43%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.