Brazil wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half
Brazil wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN24SCOBRA.
Price history
19¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If Brazil win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Scotland vs Brazil professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brazil wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Brazil wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 18¢
Range
1¢-18¢
Family volume
$563
Identifier
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN24SCOBRA-BRA2
Jun 22, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$563
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN24SCOBRA
Closes
Jul 8, 2026
Family volume
$563
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brazil win by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Scotland vs Brazil professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2026
Identifier
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN24SCOBRA-BRA2
Event family
KXWC1HSPREAD-26JUN24SCOBRA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$563
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Brazil wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals 18¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.