SimpleFunctions

$0.2100 - $0.2399 · DOGE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $0

$0.2100 - $0.2399 is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside DOGE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $0.

Price history

2¢ current

0¢5¢
Aug 25, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $0.2100-0.2399 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$0.2100 - $0.2399

Rank

#4 of 6

Leader

$0.0600 - $0.0899 41¢

Range

2¢-41¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXDOGEY-27JAN0100-B02100

Aug 25, 2026, 2:18 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 2:18 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$374

Family rank

#4 of 6

6 outcomes · DOGE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $0

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 10¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
10¢100
23¢54
24¢1.8K
25¢2.0K
29¢62

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' DOGEUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $0.2100-0.2399 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXDOGEY-27JAN0100-B02100

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Event family

DOGE price on Jan 1, 2027?: $0.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

6

Highest price

$0.0600 - $0.0899 41¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.