Exactly 3 · How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Exactly 3 is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
Price history
12¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Pluribus has won exactly 3 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 3
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Exactly 4 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-3
Jul 12, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$242
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Pluribus has won exactly 3 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-3
Event family
How many awards will Pluribus win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Exactly 4 15¢
Current share
23%
Exactly 4
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-4
Exactly 5
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-5
Exactly 3
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-3
Exactly 7
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-7
Exactly 11
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-11
Exactly 2
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-2
Exactly 6
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-6
Exactly 1
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-1
Exactly 12
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-12
Exactly 17
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-17
Exactly 10
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-10
Exactly 13
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-13
Exactly 14
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-14
Exactly 15
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-15
Exactly 16
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-16
Exactly 18
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PLU-18
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
How to Scan Prediction Market Orderbooks: Spread, Depth, and Liquidity Analysis
Practical guide to analyzing orderbook data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Learn spread, depth, liquidity scoring, and executable edge calculation.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
The case for agentic market making on Kalshi
Why traditional market makers skip prediction markets and how thesis-informed agents with catalyst awareness will dominate Kalshi liquidity provision.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 12% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.