How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026
4 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026.
Price history
16¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
0 27¢
Range
8¢-27¢
Family volume
$115
Identifier
KXDCGOLFVISITCOUNT-26AUG-4
Aug 7, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$115
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXDCGOLFVISITCOUNT-26AUG-4
Event family
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Aug 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$115
Outcomes
5
Highest price
0 27¢
Current share
1%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.