Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026
This contract is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$185.6M
Best sibling
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April 0¢
Ticker
KXWCIRAN-26
Price history
88¢ current
+25¢Orderbook snapshot
89 / 90¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Iran competes in 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2026
Identifier
KXWCIRAN-26
Event family
Iran / Hormuz crisis.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$185.6M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026: Yes 89¢
Current share
0%
Iran to compete in FIFA World Cup in 2026: Yes
kalshi · KXWCIRAN-26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April
polymarket · 0x924a2942747dd75703321a7c8d809c68f6a514c3b0f2a2e64274e02310634669
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30
polymarket · 0x9352c559e9648ab4cab236087b64ca85c5b7123a4c7d9d7d4efde4a39c18056f
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner : Iran
polymarket · 0x84edef36bded182da6a395ac6c785dba8f3e09b6c5ad041385b2042536cbef25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027
polymarket · 0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027
polymarket · 0xbb4d51e6364066d92eb6f9b8413dd7193de70966736044463b205834805a1f3b
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31
polymarket · 0x789c947a9415600d30d56a4aae88d4111996679b0caed166d0c96242fdce92a2
May 31
polymarket · 0x0e4a0c937b8934c2475613b6322b3f8edc8dedc24762e01e42b0e6f87424a089
May 31
polymarket · 0xbcacd5a055f5a9ced6f69f122216c073dd6987d08253fc07bbcc168fa5b81d55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May
polymarket · 0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c
May 31
polymarket · 0xa1d97efb8a19de58d995edf58b882c4f99ef356c8a564af8daf888a7610edea1
June 30
polymarket · 0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887
June 30
polymarket · 0x6114a8a3f9ac214f48a7e20d169f1c7a5c84082cb6f7058ed9fe1137b11fd0e7
December 31
polymarket · 0x377e7fe65cf198a7fc4fdae3f2136b74729279267858daaf96718b23bc2a5607
May 15
polymarket · 0x1db02ba50e2312a62b4104de691cc7a76065d8d0da40decf93eb1b914a3217b7
June 30
polymarket · 0x6897736d782ce70f47126dfcec6669073f563d6e757e60bc61c0367370d6f73e
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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