Bitcoin above $100000 by June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET
Before June 2026 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside Will Bitcoin be above $100000.
Price history
1¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before June 2026
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Before January 2027 36¢
Range
1¢-36¢
Family volume
$82K
Identifier
KXBTCMAX100-26-MAY
May 24, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$42K
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · Will Bitcoin be above $100000
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$82K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 01/05/2026 03:00 PM and before June 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBTCMAX100-26-MAY
Event family
Will Bitcoin be above $100000.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$82K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before January 2027 36¢
Current share
51%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.