BTC trimmed mean above $67500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026
Above $67,500.00 is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will BTC trimmed mean be above $.
Price history
9¢ current
−11¢Contract brief
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $67,500.00
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above $67,500.00 9¢
Range
1¢-9¢
Family volume
$126K
Identifier
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-6750000
Jul 29, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$73K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be above $
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$126K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-6750000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$126K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $67,500.00 9¢
Current share
58%
Above $67,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-6750000
Above $70,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-7000000
Above $72,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-7250000
Above $75,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-7500000
Above $77,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-7750000
Above $80,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-8000000
Above $82,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26JUL31-8250000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.