ETH trimmed mean above $2000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026
Above $2,000.00 is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will ETH trimmed mean be above $.
Price history
61¢ current
+50¢Contract brief
If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $2,000.00
Rank
#1 of 8
Leader
Above $2,000.00 61¢
Range
1¢-61¢
Family volume
$14K
Identifier
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-200000
Jul 22, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
62¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#1 of 8
8 outcomes · Will ETH trimmed mean be above $
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Family volume
$14K
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 62¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026 is ever above $ 2000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 1, 2026
Identifier
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-200000
Event family
Will ETH trimmed mean be above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$14K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $2,000.00 61¢
Current share
42%
Above $2,000.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-200000
Above $2,250.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-225000
Above $2,750.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-275000
Above $2,500.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-250000
Above $3,000.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-300000
Above $3,250.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-325000
Above $3,500.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-350000
Above $3,750.00
kalshi · KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26JUL31-375000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.