score or assist for Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal: score or assist is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
45¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If Lamine Yamal records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lamine Yamal: score or assist
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$37K
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPLYAMAL10
Jul 14, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$16K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$37K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lamine Yamal records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the France vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPLYAMAL10
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$37K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Lamine Yamal: score or assist 45¢
Current share
100%
Lamine Yamal: score or assist
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUL14FRAESP-ESPLYAMAL10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.