Tie for Exact Margin
Exact Margin: Tie is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for September 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game ends in a tie. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Outcome
Exact Margin: Tie
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0x73dadba5...e9c7
Sep 24, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 24, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for September 24 at 7:30 PM ET: This market is one outcome in a neg-risk group covering every margin of victory. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game ends in a tie. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The margin is the final score difference. Exactly one outcome in the group resolves "Yes"; if the game ends in a tie, the group's Tie outcome resolves "Yes" (or, absent a Tie outcome, the group resolves 50-50). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 24, 2026
Identifier
0x73dadba5…e9c7
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Exact Margin: Tie 50¢
Current share
—
Exact Margin: Tie
polymarket · 0x73dadba5143ba2e878a07f1fa6ed942a18424e1217722d38a814f5a50a8ee9c7
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Computing Liquidity Availability Score from the Orderbook
Step-by-step guide to computing the Liquidity Availability Score in TypeScript and Python, with edge cases for thin orderbooks, missing data, and the warm-cron coverage limitation.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.