Will Michael Penix Jr. be the Falcons' Week 1 starting QB
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the Falcons' Week 1 starting QB is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 97¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the Atlanta Falcons to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the Atlanta Falcons' first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Atlanta Falcons' Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Atlanta Falcons; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the Falcons' Week 1 starting QB
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0x52ca46db...eaeb
Sep 4, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
97¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the Atlanta Falcons to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the Atlanta Falcons' first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Atlanta Falcons' Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Atlanta Falcons; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Identifier
0x52ca46db…eaeb
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the Falcons' Week 1 starting QB 50¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.