Switzerland to win Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Switzerland vs Canada Winner.
Price history
56¢ current
+32¢Contract brief
If Switzerland wins the Switzerland vs Canada professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Switzerland
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Switzerland 41¢
Range
18¢-41¢
Family volume
$5
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN24SUICAN-SUI
May 24, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
15¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Switzerland vs Canada Winner
Closes
Jul 8, 2026
Family volume
$5
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Switzerland wins the Switzerland vs Canada professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 8, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN24SUICAN-SUI
Event family
Switzerland vs Canada Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Switzerland 41¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.