SimpleFunctions

Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)

Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7) is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

5¢ current

5¢
Aug 21, 2026Aug 21, 2026

Contract brief

Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome

Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x2b80ef93...d3b4

Aug 21, 2026, 9:43 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 21, 2026, 9:43 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 27, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 7¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢654
2¢32
AskSize
7¢100
98¢32
99¢3.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between market creation and August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 27, 2026

Identifier

0x2b80ef93…d3b4

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7) 5¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Cross-Venue Convergence Dynamics: Why Kalshi and Polymarket Converge — and When They Don't

Why the same outcome on Kalshi and Polymarket usually trades within 2-5 cents — and the three specific things that cause the gap to widen. Diagnostic guide and worked convergence trade.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.