What is the current probability for "Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 255 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1159.3% and 17.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Who Will Be on the Cover of NBA 2K27?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a $1,057 open interest position, and the 6¢ spread signals difficulty in execution.

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10¢

Bid/Ask 11/16¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $1,057·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining

KXNBA2KCOVER-27-NIK

7-day price29 snapshots · 4 regime

11¢11¢ current

Apr 88¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a $1,057 open interest position, and the 6¢ spread signals difficulty in execution. The 1265% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated by the depressed 17¢ price, which may not reflect genuine market consensus given the thin trading environment and 260-day time horizon to resolution. The recent price decline from 11¢ to 10¢ combined with a high Cliff Risk Index of 9 suggests potential for sharp moves if new information about NBA 2K27's cover athlete emerges.

Resolution rules

If Nikola Jokić is announced as the main global cover athlete for NBA 2K27 before Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1159.3%

IY (No) 17.7%

Adj IY 316%

CRI 8

Overround 0.5%

LAS 0.45

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1159.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	17.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	316%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	8	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.45	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:14:28 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA2KCOVER-27-NIK yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →