Before Jan 2029 · Will a new season of Euphoria be announced before Jan 1, 202
Before Jan 2029 is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will a new season of Euphoria be announced before Jan 1, 202.
Price history
38¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If a new season of Euphoria is announced before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 2029
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 2029 21¢
Range
4¢-21¢
Family volume
$606
Identifier
KXTVSEASONANNOUNCEEUP-JAN-29
Jun 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
13¢
24h volume
$606
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will a new season of Euphoria be announced before Jan 1, 202
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Family volume
$606
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a new season of Euphoria is announced before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2029
Identifier
KXTVSEASONANNOUNCEEUP-JAN-29
Event family
Will a new season of Euphoria be announced before Jan 1, 202.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$606
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 2029 21¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.