SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027242 days left

Will AI be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$88K volume
$35K liquidity
2071% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$4K

Best sibling

Jerome Powell 3¢

Ticker

KXTIME-26-AI

Price history

10¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢1.1K
9¢58
8¢386
7¢500
6¢1.0K
AskSize
11¢826
12¢396
13¢602
15¢545
17¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If AI is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXTIME-26-AI

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1355.3%

IY (No)

16.7%

Adj IY

610%

CRI

9

Overround

0.2%

LAS

0.10

Regime

maker

Score

0.295

Observability

none

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

1355.3%
16.7%
Adj IY
610%
9
Overround
0.2%
LAS
0.10

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