Will Germany score over 0.5 goals
Will Germany score over 0.5 goals is priced at 89¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
89¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Germany records above 0.5 goals in the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Germany score over 0.5 goals
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN25ECUGER-GER1
Jun 25, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
88¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$548
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 9, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
88 / 89¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Germany records above 0.5 goals in the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 9, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN25ECUGER-GER1
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Germany score over 0.5 goals 89¢
Current share
100%
Will Germany score over 0.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCTEAMTOTAL-26JUN25ECUGER-GER1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 89% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.