Before Feb 1, 2027 · Will Miley Cyrus release a new album before
Before Feb 1, 2027 is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will Miley Cyrus release a new album before.
Price history
66¢ current
+11¢Contract brief
If Miley Cyrus releases a new album before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Feb 1, 2027
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Before Mar 1, 2027 65¢
Range
3¢-65¢
Family volume
$416
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-27FEB01
Aug 9, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$250
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will Miley Cyrus release a new album before
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Family volume
$416
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Miley Cyrus releases a new album before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-27FEB01
Event family
Will Miley Cyrus release a new album before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$416
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Before Mar 1, 2027 65¢
Current share
60%
Before Mar 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-27MAR01
Before Feb 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-27FEB01
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-27JAN01
Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-26DEC01
Before Nov 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-26NOV01
Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-26OCT01
Before Sep 1, 2026
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWMIL-26SEP01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.