Will Rema be featured on Trippie Red's next album?

Prediction markets currently give a 42% probability that Will Rema be featured on Trippie Red's next album?. This contract trades at 42¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This illiquid niche market shows extreme asymmetry with a 210.9% implied yield on the Yes side versus 93.7% on the No side, suggesting significant mispricing or uncertainty about Trippie Red's release timeline.

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42¢
Bid/Ask 40/54¢·Spread 14¢·Vol $0·OI $231·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-REM
7-day price5 snapshots · 4 regime
47¢40¢ current
Apr 916¢Apr 13

Analysis

4d ago

This illiquid niche market shows extreme asymmetry with a 210.9% implied yield on the Yes side versus 93.7% on the No side, suggesting significant mispricing or uncertainty about Trippie Red's release timeline. The price has surged 150% over seven days (from 16¢ to 40¢) on zero volume, indicating the movement may reflect thin positioning rather than informed trading, and the wide 14¢ spread underscores the lack of market depth. With 260 days to expiry and only $231 in open interest, this market lacks sufficient liquidity to confidently arbitrage the yield imbalance.

Resolution rules

If Rema is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 215.0%
IY (No) 95.5%
Adj IY 70%
CRI 2
Overround 5.6%
LAS 0.35
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)215.0%
IY (No)95.5%
Adj IY70%
CRI2
Overround5.6%
LAS0.35

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:08:17 PM
Observability lowEvent type cultural
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 10:53:18 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-REM yes 100

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