What is the best prediction market data provider in 2026?
No single best — match the provider to the workflow. For builders + AI agents needing normalized cross-venue data plus calibration plus indicators plus a thesis system, SimpleFunctions ships the deepest agent-callable surface. For HFT-grade tick orderbook + SQL warehouse + Parquet bulk, Probalytics. For sub-second WebSocket + trader attribution, Oddpool. For SLA-grade enterprise feed, FinFeedAPI. For Python-native Polymarket backtesting, Marketlens. For institutional Bloomberg-style terminal, Verso. For raw single-venue data, the venues' own public exports.
Is prediction market data free?
Mostly yes for read access. Kalshi exposes a public REST API + daily CSV exports for free. Polymarket's gamma API and CLOB read endpoints are free and auth-light. Manifold and Metaculus offer free public APIs. Aggregators (SimpleFunctions, FinFeedAPI, Adjacent News) typically have free tiers for public read access plus paid tiers for SLA, write, or higher rate limits. Specialized derived-signal products (Oddpool, Hashdive, Verso, Probalytics, Marketlens) are subscription-based.
What is the difference between a data provider and an API?
Overlapping but not identical. A data provider sells the data product (CSV exports, SQL warehouses, normalized REST, WebSocket streams, Python SDKs). An API is the access protocol — a data provider may ship a REST API as one of several delivery channels alongside CSV downloads or SQL access. SimpleFunctions ships data via CLI + REST/Data API + WebSocket + CSV downloads, with MCP as an adapter for compatible hosts. Probalytics ships via REST + ClickHouse SQL + Parquet. Oddpool ships via WebSocket + REST. Marketlens ships via Python SDK only. Match the delivery channel to your workflow.
Which providers cover both Kalshi and Polymarket?
SimpleFunctions, Oddpool, FinFeedAPI, Probalytics, TREMOR, Hashdive, Verso, and Adjacent News all cover Kalshi + Polymarket from a single integration. They differ in additional venues (FinFeedAPI adds Manifold + Myriad), in derived signals (only SimpleFunctions ships calibration + thesis system + agent-ready CLI/API surfaces), and in delivery model (Marketlens is Polymarket-only Python SDK; Verso is UI-only).
How do I bulk-download historical prediction market data?
For Polymarket: the Jon-Becker public dataset on GitHub has periodic snapshots; Probalytics offers Parquet bulk export at higher tiers; Marketlens offers tick-level history through their Python SDK. For Kalshi: Kalshi's own daily CSV exports are the canonical source plus Probalytics Parquet exports. SimpleFunctions publishes daily CC-BY-4.0 dumps on HuggingFace (huggingface.co/SimpleFunctions) and Kaggle covering markets, prices, calibration, and indicators.
Which data provider publishes calibration data?
SimpleFunctions is the only provider on this list that publishes live Brier scores as a programmatic endpoint — GET /api/calibration returns scores by venue, category, and price bucket, currently Kalshi 0.20 / Polymarket 0.12 on T-24h price over the past 90 days. Verso self-reports a 73% forecast accuracy on its dashboard but does not expose a queryable calibration endpoint. Other providers ship raw price data only; calibration must be computed downstream.
What is the right data provider for an AI agent?
Agents typically need: (a) normalized cross-venue prices, (b) computed indicators ready to consume, (c) calibration to weight predictions, (d) a CLI or HTTP tool surface so the agent can invoke capabilities by name. SimpleFunctions is the only provider on this list that ships all four, plus an MCP adapter for hosts that require it. Other providers ship raw data — your agent layer would need to compose the indicators, calibration, and tool routing yourself before any reasoning can happen.
Can I get prediction market data in CSV or Parquet?
Yes — multiple providers support bulk export formats. SimpleFunctions exposes /api/data/download for CSV exports plus daily CC-BY-4.0 dumps on HuggingFace + Kaggle. Probalytics offers Parquet bulk exports. Kalshi publishes daily CSV market exports on its public site. Jon-Becker's Polymarket public dataset on GitHub ships JSON, CSV, and parquet. Pick the format your downstream pipeline already speaks.