other · captured 2026-07-13
Democratic Republic of the Congo
country in Central Africa
Wikidata Q974
Why now
A U.S. citizen employed by a humanitarian organization has tested positive for Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, according to reports from NBC News, CNN, and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. This case has drawn international attention to the country's ongoing public health challenges and the risks faced by foreign workers providing humanitarian assistance. The DRC has experienced multiple Ebola outbreaks in recent years, making disease surveillance and response capacity critical concerns for the region.
Possibly related markets
No prediction market is bound to this entity yet. These are the closest title matches by similarity — verify before reading them as direct probabilities.
- 01
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?: Félix Tshisekedi
Kalshi · similarity 37%
5¢$0 24h vol
- 02
Will the U.S. State Department issue a level 3 or lower warning for Democratic Republic of the Congo?: Democratic Republic of the Congo
Kalshi · similarity 36%
16¢$0 24h vol
Top news
What to watch
Monitor updates from the CDC and WHO regarding the confirmed case's clinical status and contact tracing efforts. Track whether additional cases emerge in the coming weeks, as early detection remains crucial. Watch for any travel advisories or policy changes from the U.S. State Department affecting humanitarian operations in the DRC. Follow statements from the humanitarian organization employing the infected worker.
Tracked since
2026-07-13
Latest snapshot: 2026-07-13
1 observation from trends_us
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 15 d ago.