Félix Tshisekedi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Félix Tshisekedi is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
Price history
11¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Félix Tshisekedi
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
Gustavo Petro 98¢
Range
1¢-98¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC
May 24, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$574
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Félix Tshisekedi has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo or has actually left President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 2, 2027
Identifier
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC
Event family
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Gustavo Petro 98¢
Current share
0%
Gustavo Petro
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-GPETCOL
Miguel Díaz-Canel
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-BNETISR
Pedro Sánchez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DRODAPRE
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Friedrich Merz
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FMERCGER
Cyril Ramaphosa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CRAMSAFR
Emmanuel Macron
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Aleksandar Vučić
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AVUCPSER
Félix Tshisekedi
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FTSHPDRC
Ahmad al-Sharaa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-AALSSYR
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-CSHEPMEX
Daniel Noboa
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-DNOBECUA
Frederik X
kalshi · KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-FXKD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.