#2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026
Enola Holmes 3 is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside #2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026.
Price history
11¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Enola Holmes 3 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Enola Holmes 3
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
Enola Holmes 3 11¢
Range
1¢-11¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-ENO
Jul 12, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$10K
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · #2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Enola Holmes 3 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Jul 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 14, 2026
Identifier
KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-ENO
Event family
#2 US Netflix Movie on Jul 13, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Enola Holmes 3 11¢
Current share
57%
Enola Holmes 3
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-ENO
Gone Girl
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-GON
Spider-Man: Homecoming
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-SPI
Little Brother
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-LIT
Voicemails for Isabelle
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-VOI
The Boss Baby
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-THE
Hunting Housewives
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-HUN
KPop Demon Hunters
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-KPO
Maternal Instinct
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-MAT
Minions: The Rise of Gru
kalshi · KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIERUNNERUP-26JUL13-MIN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.