SimpleFunctions

Buffalo vs New England for 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup

Buffalo vs New England: Buffalo vs New England is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup.

Price history

18¢ current

15¢20¢
Aug 25, 2026Aug 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Buffalo and New England is confirmed to be the matchup in the AFC Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Buffalo vs New England: Buffalo vs New England

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Baltimore vs Houston: Baltimore vs Houston 31¢

Range

1¢-31¢

Family volume

$82

Identifier

KXNFLMATCHUP-27AFC-BUFNE

Aug 25, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

Ask

18¢

Spread

18¢

Reported volume

$47

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup

Closes

Feb 21, 2027

Family volume

$82

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 18¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
18¢583
19¢583
20¢584
27¢222
29¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Buffalo and New England is confirmed to be the matchup in the AFC Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 21, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLMATCHUP-27AFC-BUFNE

SF Signal
SF Index
459.66
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$82

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Baltimore vs Houston: Baltimore vs Houston 31¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

919.3%

IY (No)

44.3%

Adj IY

460%

CRI

5

Overround

1.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

919.3%
44.3%
Adj IY
460%
5
Overround
1.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.