SimpleFunctions

Cincinnati vs Houston for 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup

Cincinnati vs Houston: Cincinnati vs Houston is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 39¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup.

Price history

39¢ current

35¢40¢
Aug 9, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Cincinnati and Houston is confirmed to be the matchup in the AFC Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cincinnati vs Houston: Cincinnati vs Houston

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Cincinnati vs Houston: Cincinnati vs Houston 39¢

Range

2¢-39¢

Family volume

$238

Identifier

KXNFLMATCHUP-27AFC-CINHOU

Aug 9, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

39¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

Ask

39¢

Spread

39¢

Reported volume

$2

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup

Closes

Feb 21, 2027

Family volume

$238

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 39¢

Kalshi
39¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
39¢220
42¢1.8K
43¢3.5K
44¢300
49¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cincinnati and Houston is confirmed to be the matchup in the AFC Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 21, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLMATCHUP-27AFC-CINHOU

SF Signal
SF Index
144.98
Regime
neutral

Event family

2026-27 AFC Championship Matchup.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$238

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Cincinnati vs Houston: Cincinnati vs Houston 39¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

290.0%

IY (No)

118.5%

Adj IY

145%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

290.0%
118.5%
Adj IY
145%
2
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.