Total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election above 152000
Above 152K is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 1.
Price history
97¢ current
+58¢Contract brief
If the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election is above 152000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 152K
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Above 152K 97¢
Range
76¢-97¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TX29-152000
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
38¢
Ask
58¢
Spread
20¢
Reported volume
$1
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 1
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
38 / 58¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election is above 152000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TX29-152000
Event family
Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas 29 House General Election be above 1.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Above 152K 97¢
Current share
—
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.