Aaron Donald · KXNFLCOMPETE-ADON27FEB
Aaron Donald is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
84¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If Aaron Donald competes in a Pro Football game (including preseason, regular season and playoffs) in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aaron Donald
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXNFLCOMPETE-ADON27FEB-Y
Aug 5, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$8K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Aaron Donald competes in a Pro Football game (including preseason, regular season and playoffs) in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 22, 2027
Identifier
KXNFLCOMPETE-ADON27FEB-Y
Event family
KXNFLCOMPETE-ADON27FEB.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Aaron Donald 84¢
Current share
100%
Aaron Donald
kalshi · KXNFLCOMPETE-ADON27FEB-Y
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.