Alabama wins: Alabama · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK
Alabama wins: Alabama is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK.
Price history
90¢ current
+83¢Contract brief
If Alabama wins the Alabama vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alabama wins: Alabama
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Alabama wins: Alabama 60¢
Range
7¢-60¢
Family volume
$9
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK-ALA
Aug 26, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
60¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
30¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Family volume
$9
Orderbook snapshot
60 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alabama wins the Alabama vs Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK-ALA
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12ALAUK.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Alabama wins: Alabama 60¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.