Amanda Doherty leads at the end of Round 3
Amanda Doherty leads at the end of Round 3 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 75¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
5¢ current
Contract brief
If Amanda Doherty is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Amanda Doherty leads at the end of Round 3
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$3
Identifier
KXLPGAR3LEAD-FMC26-AMADOH
Aug 28, 2026, 11:11 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
75¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Family volume
$3
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Amanda Doherty is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 FM Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Identifier
KXLPGAR3LEAD-FMC26-AMADOH
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Amanda Doherty leads at the end of Round 3 5¢
Current share
100%
Amanda Doherty leads at the end of Round 3
kalshi · KXLPGAR3LEAD-FMC26-AMADOH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.