America to win America vs San Luis
America is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside America vs San Luis Winner.
Price history
67¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If America wins the America vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
America
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
America 64¢
Range
16¢-64¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG16AMEASL-AME
Aug 9, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
67¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · America vs San Luis Winner
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 67¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If America wins the America vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG16AMEASL-AME
Event family
America vs San Luis Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
America 64¢
Current share
69%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 67% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.