Tie to win Atlanta vs New York RB
Tie is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Atlanta vs New York RB Winner.
Price history
27¢ current
Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Atlanta vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Atlanta 49¢
Range
25¢-49¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15ATLNYRB-TIE
Aug 5, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$710
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Atlanta vs New York RB Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Atlanta vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15ATLNYRB-TIE
Event family
Atlanta vs New York RB Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Atlanta 49¢
Current share
14%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.