Tie to win Atlante vs Toluca
Tie is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Atlante vs Toluca Winner.
Price history
20¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Atlante vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Toluca 65¢
Range
14¢-65¢
Family volume
$13K
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG15ALATOL-TIE
Aug 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Atlante vs Toluca Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$13K
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Atlante vs Toluca professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG15ALATOL-TIE
Event family
Atlante vs Toluca Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$13K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Toluca 65¢
Current share
10%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.