Auburn wins: Auburn · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB
Auburn wins: Auburn is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB.
Price history
96¢ current
+88¢Contract brief
If Auburn wins the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Auburn wins: Auburn
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Auburn wins: Auburn 91¢
Range
4¢-91¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB-AUB
Aug 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
91¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$949
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
91 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Auburn wins the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 14, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB-AUB
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP12USMAUB.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Auburn wins: Auburn 91¢
Current share
67%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.