Rafael Jodar wins for Australian Open Men's Singles
Rafael Jodar wins: Rafael Jodar is priced at 7¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 14 inside Australian Open Men's Singles.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If Rafael Jodar wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rafael Jodar wins: Rafael Jodar
Rank
#6 of 14
Leader
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz 10¢
Range
1¢-10¢
Family volume
$250
Identifier
KXATP-27AO-JOD
Sep 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 14
14 outcomes · Australian Open Men's Singles
Closes
Feb 15, 2027
Family volume
$250
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rafael Jodar wins the 2027 Australian Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Feb 15, 2027
Identifier
KXATP-27AO-JOD
Event family
Australian Open Men's Singles.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$250
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz 10¢
Current share
0%
Carlos Alcaraz wins: Carlos Alcaraz
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-ALC
Arthur Fils wins: Arthur Fils
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-FIL
Jannik Sinner wins: Jannik Sinner
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-SIN
Tommy Paul wins: Tommy Paul
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-PAU
Alexander Zverev wins: Alexander Zverev
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-ZVE
Rafael Jodar wins: Rafael Jodar
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-JOD
Felix Auger-Aliassime wins: Felix Auger-Aliassime
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-AUG
Lorenzo Musetti wins: Lorenzo Musetti
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-MUS
Ben Shelton wins: Ben Shelton
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-SHE
Novak Djokovic wins: Novak Djokovic
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-DJO
Taylor Fritz wins: Taylor Fritz
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-FRI
Daniil Medvedev wins: Daniil Medvedev
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-MED
Frances Tiafoe wins: Frances Tiafoe
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-TIA
Learner Tien wins: Learner Tien
kalshi · KXATP-27AO-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.