SimpleFunctions

Bernd Wiesberger leads at the end of Round 1: Bernd Wiesberger · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26

Bernd Wiesberger leads at the end of Round 1: Bernd Wiesberger is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 63¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26.

Price history

2¢ current

0¢5¢
Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Bernd Wiesberger is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bernd Wiesberger leads at the end of Round 1: Bernd Wiesberger

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Patrick Reed leads at the end of Round 1: Patrick Reed 57¢

Range

1¢-57¢

Family volume

$59K

Identifier

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-BWIE

Aug 27, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 11:51 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

63¢

Spread

63¢

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Family volume

$59K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 63¢

Kalshi
63¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
63¢10
64¢946
65¢142
75¢10
82¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bernd Wiesberger is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 13, 2026

Identifier

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-BWIE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$59K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Patrick Reed leads at the end of Round 1: Patrick Reed 57¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Patrick Reed leads at the end of Round 1: Patrick Reed

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-PREE

57¢
$8K$8K1.0

Keita Nakajima leads at the end of Round 1: Keita Nakajima

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-KNAK

4¢
$7K$7K

Oliver Lindell leads at the end of Round 1: Oliver Lindell

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-OLIN

4¢
$6K$6K16.3

Kazuma Kobori leads at the end of Round 1: Kazuma Kobori

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-KKOB

3¢
$8K$8K17.0

Tyrrell Hatton leads at the end of Round 1: Tyrrell Hatton

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-THAT

3¢
$4K$4K6.7

Marco Penge leads at the end of Round 1: Marco Penge

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-MPEN

2¢
$3K$3K

Thomas Rosenmueller leads at the end of Round 1: Thomas Rosenmueller

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-TROS

2¢
$3K$3K

Matteo Manassero leads at the end of Round 1: Matteo Manassero

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-MMAN

2¢
$3K$3K

Bernd Wiesberger leads at the end of Round 1: Bernd Wiesberger

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-BWIE

2¢
$2K$2K

Marcus Armitage leads at the end of Round 1: Marcus Armitage

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-MARM

2¢
$2K$2K

Dan Bradbury leads at the end of Round 1: Dan Bradbury

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-DBRA

2¢
$2K$2K

Paul Waring leads at the end of Round 1: Paul Waring

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-PWAR

2¢
$2K$2K

Antoine Rozner leads at the end of Round 1: Antoine Rozner

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-AROZ

2¢
$2K$2K

Matt Wallace leads at the end of Round 1: Matt Wallace

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-MWAL

1¢
$3K$3K21.7

Cameron Adam leads at the end of Round 1: Cameron Adam

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-CADA

1¢
$3K$3K

Matthieu Pavon leads at the end of Round 1: Matthieu Pavon

kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURR1LEAD-HUBMHBSNF26-MPAV

1¢
$2K$2K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.