SimpleFunctions

Bitcoin price on Jul 13, 2026

Bitcoin price on Jul 13, 2026 is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 62¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

62¢ current

17¢
60¢70¢80¢
Jul 12, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 63249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bitcoin price on Jul 13, 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$35K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUL1317-T63249.99

Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 2h ago

Implied probability

62¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 2h ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

62¢

Spread

24h volume

$35K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Family volume

$35K

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 62¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
61¢5.6K
60¢2.7K
59¢200
58¢301
57¢250
AskSize
62¢3
63¢517
64¢1.6K
65¢1.1K
66¢564

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 63249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 13, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUL1317-T63249.99

SF Signal
SF Index
87148.88
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$35K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Bitcoin price on Jul 13, 2026 62¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.61

IAR

4.4/h

Overround

10.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.61
IAR
4.4/h
Overround
10.6%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.