$65,500 or above · Bitcoin price on Jul 31, 2026?: $
$65,500 or above is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jul 31, 2026?: $.
Price history
31¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 65499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$65,500 or above
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
$59,500 or above 93¢
Range
2¢-93¢
Family volume
$139K
Identifier
KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T65499.99
Jul 25, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$6K
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jul 31, 2026?: $
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$139K
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 65499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T65499.99
Event family
Bitcoin price on Jul 31, 2026?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$139K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$59,500 or above 93¢
Current share
4%
$59,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T59499.99
$60,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T59999.99
$61,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T60999.99
$61,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T61499.99
$62,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T61999.99
$62,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T62499.99
$63,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T62999.99
$63,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T63499.99
$64,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T63999.99
$64,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T64499.99
$65,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T64999.99
$65,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T65499.99
$66,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T65999.99
$67,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T66999.99
$68,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T68499.99
$70,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T69999.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.