SimpleFunctions

Completed Match: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto for Brownsburg

Brownsburg: Completed Match: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Aug 13, 2026Aug 13, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Rei Sakamoto in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

Brownsburg: Completed Match: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x5e1c09c5...40f0

Aug 13, 2026, 6:19 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 13, 2026, 6:19 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

99¢

Spread

98¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 99¢

Polymarket
98¢ spread
BidSize
100¢533
AskSize
99¢533

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Rei Sakamoto in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Identifier

0x5e1c09c5…40f0

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Brownsburg: Completed Match: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.