35,000 to 39,999.99 · BTC price on Jan 1, 2027
35,000 to 39,999.99 is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside BTC price on Jan 1, 2027.
Price history
6¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 35000.00-39999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
35,000 to 39,999.99
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
65,000 to 69,999.99 8¢
Range
1¢-8¢
Family volume
$44K
Identifier
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B37500
Jun 21, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$12
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · BTC price on Jan 1, 2027
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$44K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 35000.00-39999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B37500
Event family
BTC price on Jan 1, 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$44K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
65,000 to 69,999.99 8¢
Current share
0%
65,000 to 69,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B67500
70,000 to 74,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B72500
75,000 to 79,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B77500
55,000 to 59,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B57500
60,000 to 64,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B62500
50,000 to 54,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B52500
45,000 to 49,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B47500
85,000 to 89,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B87500
40,000 to 44,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B42500
19,999.99 or below
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-T20000.00
150,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-T149999.99
35,000 to 39,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B37500
115,000 to 119,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B117500
100,000 to 104,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B102500
120,000 to 124,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B122500
105,000 to 109,999.99
kalshi · KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B107500
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 6% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.