SimpleFunctions

Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Cal Poly · KXNCAAFFCS-27

Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Cal Poly is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNCAAFFCS-27.

Price history

2¢ current

0¢5¢
Sep 25, 2026Sep 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Cal Poly college football team wins the FCS National Championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Cal Poly

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Montana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana St. 35¢

Range

1¢-35¢

Family volume

$444

Identifier

KXNCAAFFCS-27-CP

Sep 25, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

2¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 25, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

3¢

Spread

3¢

Reported volume

$47

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFFCS-27

Closes

Jan 26, 2027

Family volume

$444

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 3¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢10.0K
15¢53
16¢38K
37¢2.0K
38¢7.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Cal Poly college football team wins the FCS National Championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 26, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFFCS-27-CP

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFFCS-27.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$444

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Montana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana St. 35¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Montana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-MTST

35¢
$0$0—

Idaho St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Idaho St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-IDST

9¢
$0$0—

South Dakota wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Dakota

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-SDAK

6¢
$417$417—

Illinois St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Illinois St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ILST

2¢
$28$28—

Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Cal Poly

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-CP

2¢
$0$0—

Alabama A&M wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Alabama A&M

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-AAMU

2¢
$0$0—

Alabama St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Alabama St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ALST

2¢
$0$0—

Elon wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Elon

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-ELON

2¢
$0$0—

Montana wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Montana

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-MONT

2¢
$0$0—

South Carolina St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: South Carolina St.

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-SCST

2¢
$0$0—

Charleston Southern wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Charleston Southern

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-CHSO

1¢
$0$0—

Eastern Washington wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Eastern Washington

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-EWU

1¢
$0$0—

Harvard wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Harvard

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-HARV

1¢
$0$0—

Idaho wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Idaho

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-IDHO

1¢
$0$0—

Lehigh wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: Lehigh

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-LEH

1¢
$0$0—

North Carolina Central wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season: North Carolina Central

kalshi · KXNCAAFFCS-27-NCCU

1¢
$0$0—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.