Cerro Largo to win Cerro Largo vs Defensor
Cerro Largo is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner.
Price history
32¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Cerro Largo wins the Cerro Largo vs Defensor professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Cerro Largo
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Defensor 35¢
Range
30¢-35¢
Family volume
$172
Identifier
KXURYPDGAME-26JUL13CLADEF-CLA
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$69
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$172
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Cerro Largo wins the Cerro Largo vs Defensor professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXURYPDGAME-26JUL13CLADEF-CLA
Event family
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$172
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Defensor 35¢
Current share
40%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.