SimpleFunctions

Columbus to win Charlotte vs Columbus

Columbus is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Charlotte vs Columbus Winner.

Price history

33¢ current

+7¢
30¢
Aug 3, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Columbus wins the Charlotte vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Columbus

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Charlotte 41¢

Range

25¢-41¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26AUG15CLTCLB-CLB

Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

33¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

32¢

Ask

33¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Charlotte vs Columbus Winner

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 33¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
32¢51
31¢3.0K
30¢3.1K
28¢1.1K
27¢365
AskSize
33¢6.2K
34¢11K
36¢35
37¢849
38¢605

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Columbus wins the Charlotte vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26AUG15CLTCLB-CLB

SF Signal
SF Index
4130.06
Regime
neutral

Event family

Charlotte vs Columbus Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Charlotte 41¢

Current share

43%

Browse this series

MLS Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8260.1%

IY (No)

1829.2%

Adj IY

4130%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8260.1%
1829.2%
Adj IY
4130%
2
Overround
-0.0%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.