SimpleFunctions

Colorado Springs Sw to win Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC

Colorado Springs Sw. is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC Winner.

Price history

60¢ current

+41¢
25¢50¢
Aug 9, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Colorado Springs Sw. wins the Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Colorado Springs Sw.

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Colorado Springs Sw. 61¢

Range

15¢-61¢

Family volume

$203

Identifier

KXUSLGAME-26AUG15CSSBIR-CSS

Aug 10, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 10, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 29m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

63¢

Spread

24h volume

$81

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC Winner

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Family volume

$203

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 63¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
61¢52
59¢650
58¢1.4K
57¢261
56¢743
AskSize
63¢900
64¢3
65¢1.4K
66¢753
67¢604

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Colorado Springs Sw. wins the Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Identifier

KXUSLGAME-26AUG15CSSBIR-CSS

SF Signal
SF Index
7013.48
Regime
neutral

Event family

Colorado Springs Sw. vs Birmingham Legion FC Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$203

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Colorado Springs Sw. 61¢

Current share

40%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2866.8%

IY (No)

7013.5%

Adj IY

7013%

CRI

2

RV

1518%

VR

2.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2866.8%
7013.5%
Adj IY
7013%
2
RV
1518%
VR
2.75
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.0%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.