SimpleFunctions

LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs for Counter-Strike

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs is priced at 46¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 42¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

46¢ current

45¢50¢
Aug 16, 2026Aug 16, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LPH Gaming and SAW Youngsters in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win the match against SAW Youngsters. This market will resolve to "SAW Youngsters" if SAW Youngsters win the match against LPH Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Outcome

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$5

Identifier

0xdf28e945...b8c8

Aug 16, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

46¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 16, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

42¢

Ask

50¢

Spread

24h volume

$5

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Family volume

$5

Orderbook snapshot

42 / 50¢

Polymarket
8¢ spread
BidSize
42¢12
41¢68
40¢250
35¢10
32¢56
31¢135
30¢25
27¢19
AskSize
50¢37
51¢150
52¢25
58¢20
59¢40
87¢5
94¢12
95¢14

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between LPH Gaming and SAW Youngsters in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win the match against SAW Youngsters. This market will resolve to "SAW Youngsters" if SAW Youngsters win the match against LPH Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 17, 2026

Identifier

0xdf28e945…b8c8

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$5

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs 46¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Conceptmethodology

The Longshot Bias in Modern Prediction Markets — 80 Years of Evidence in One Number

Horse racing has an 80-year longshot bias. Polymarket and Kalshi have one too — but the direction is opposite. What the calibration data on cheap and expensive contracts actually says.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.