SimpleFunctions

O/U 2.5 for Games Total

Games Total: O/U 2.5 is priced at 27¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 51¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

27¢ current

25¢30¢
Aug 14, 2026Aug 14, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between Vitality and Lynn Vision in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Vitality and Lynn Vision play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Outcome

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x4811428e...2828

Aug 14, 2026, 4:52 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 14, 2026, 4:52 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

Ask

52¢

Spread

51¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 52¢

Polymarket
51¢ spread
BidSize
100¢5
AskSize
52¢50
99¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 2 match between Vitality and Lynn Vision in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Vitality and Lynn Vision play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Identifier

0x4811428e…2828

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Games Total: O/U 2.5 27¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.