SimpleFunctions

Ivory Coast to win Curacao vs Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner.

Price history

80¢ current

+57¢
25¢50¢75¢
Apr 24, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Ivory Coast wins the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ivory Coast

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Ivory Coast 69¢

Range

6¢-69¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN25CUWCIV-CIV

May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

80¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

77¢

Spread

Reported volume

$55

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 77¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
69¢1
66¢104
65¢1.0K
59¢25
27¢1.2K
AskSize
77¢22
78¢525
80¢1.9K
81¢988
84¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ivory Coast wins the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN25CUWCIV-CIV

SF Signal
SF Index
889.21
Regime
neutral

Event family

Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Ivory Coast 69¢

Current share

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

359.0%

IY (No)

1778.4%

Adj IY

889%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

359.0%
1778.4%
Adj IY
889%
2
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.