New Zealand to win England vs New Zealand
New Zealand is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside England vs New Zealand Winner.
Price history
51¢ current
+41¢Contract brief
If New Zealand wins the England vs New Zealand men's professional Test International (M) cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New Zealand
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
England 39¢
Range
31¢-39¢
Family volume
$616
Identifier
KXTESTMATCH-26JUN250600NZENG-NZ
Jun 23, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
20¢
24h volume
$118
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · England vs New Zealand Winner
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$616
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 51¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New Zealand wins the England vs New Zealand men's professional Test International (M) cricket match originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXTESTMATCH-26JUN250600NZENG-NZ
Event family
England vs New Zealand Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$616
Outcomes
2
Highest price
England 39¢
Current share
19%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.